Range-bound Market no Longer for Stock Pickers

Wednesday, October 15, 2008
By Faisal Laljee
The market seems to be oscillating vigorously every day and there are seldom days when the market does not trade up or down in triple digits. Today is no exception as the Dow looks like it will close down 700 points. The last few years have seen the term “This is a Stock-picker’s Market” coined and used by numerous money managers and commentators. Although I don’t really understand why this term was ever used (because if it wasn’t then money managers would be out of a job).

Under current circumstances however, it is NO LONGER TRUE. This is not a stock picker’s market. If you buy individual stocks, even ones with good fundamentals, stocks that have been beaten senseless and trade at levels you could not have imagined just a year ago, you are still more likely to get burned in the short-term.

So consider this. On days like today when the market is down 700 and one can reasonably assume that it might go down another 400-500 tomorrow or go up 500, buy something like SSO. This is the Ultra S&P 500 ETF, that goes up two times as much as the S&P index or down twice as hard if S&P goes down. Today, this ETF shed 17%. I bought some right before the close and will double down if it falls to $25 tomorrow. If the market goes up tomorrow, I already have a sell order that will execute at $34. Risky – yes. But so far, it has been working.

On the flip side, when the market rallies, buy EEV. This is the Ultra-Short Emerging Markets ETF which goes down with twice the intensity when Emerging Markets rise. At around $100, it is a buy. At $150, it is a sell. In a range-bound market that goes up and down like a rollercoaster everyday, this is the best way in my opinion to make some money. Buying individual stocks is not as cut and dry.

Faisal Laljee
– Full Disclosure: I own SSO but my position can change anytime without notice.

Related Stories:

Tags: , , , , , ,

2 Responses to “Range-bound Market no Longer for Stock Pickers”

  1. Larry Nusbaum

    Completely agree on SSO. (the option premiums are all over the place)

    #606
  2. Johnny Coates

    I believe there is another alternative… how about living the stock market and doing some real investment?

    #608

Leave a Reply

Older Posts

Positions by Seo-Watcher