Trade Alert – Garmin

Wednesday, August 2, 2006
By Faisal Laljee
I sold Garmin (GRMN) this morning at 95 before the conference call. This left me with a 40% gain on this stock. I am not entirely happy with the gain considering I sold it 15% short of the high a few weeks ago. However, I am happy about trading out before the stock turned negative. By nature, I am not a trader and am not very deft at timing my trades and I try to invest over longer periods for that reason. Back to Garmin now – the earnings and guidance were phenomenal. But considering this stock is up so much when the market has been in doldrums most of the year, the market expected nothing short of a miracle from Garmin. Having said that, I expect the stock to base in the 80’s touching as low as 80 and head back up in a few weeks. Keeping an eye on this is probably a good idea as the story is far from over.
 
One interesting thing to note here is that Garmin, recommended by Barron’s earlier this year, has been their most successful bullish call this year so far.
 
– Faisal Laljee

5 Responses to “Trade Alert – Garmin”

  1. boris

    hey guys.
    what you think of this..
    this nasdaq looks to break
    above 2,100 friday.

    stick with Lifecell.
    the sequentials of 19%
    warrent $36 99% of
    the time so i dont know
    whats going on.

    ISRG- iam stuck with it
    down from $110-$120 cost
    but if you dont have any
    its now down where you wanted
    it. the monopoly factor
    is most relevant long term,
    but short term valuation
    is tricky.

    BIDU- the shares came down
    after earnings and
    i assume 97 > 68
    warrents big bounce.

    BONUS. BONUS.
    Chipoltes. star news of
    the day… guess what????
    i just discovered the
    true earnings per share
    power per 500 units
    after tax is about $3.
    that makes sbux-wfmi
    look like garbage.
    Knowing that Taco Hell
    has 6,000 units if
    Chipoltes ever best that
    the eps will exceed $36.

    #180
  2. Faisal Laljee

    Explain to me how it “looks” to break out above 2100? It didn’t so my question is what prompts you to say whether its going to overcome resistance or fall back?

    #182
  3. Anonymous

    too much focus leading
    to too much stoxx spirit.

    but on friday am we did
    have nasdaq 2119, abliet
    unproftitable for the longs.
    but the way it seems,
    the truth…
    the friday morning action
    was some type of index tip over.
    I did a 18,000 sell program
    of about 4 stocks including
    cmg–erts-gme-idsy.
    angeling to buy them back
    for less in 1-2 days and
    fixing my own dividend.
    i dont know how much
    of a multi day tip over
    is in store for the indexs,
    it will be but all of
    late fridays strenght was
    just left over firmness.
    If you would like to act,
    use the new double barreled
    pro shares ETF to short.
    i estimate that Tuesday
    might be the day to do
    a buy program. I feel
    bad about the Lifecell
    dumping on your 30.50
    long but i assure you
    that was solid. the sequentials
    were 19%. but remember
    i warned you about
    that Nutrisystems crap.
    and Gymbore being as common
    as they come.

    #184
  4. boris

    if you even want to hear it,
    the Baidu selloff down
    to $68 is 10x more likely
    to have a rich bounce over
    yahoo. for them its game over.
    In Baiud’s favor, even if
    longs mispriced $90 on
    valuation, each additional
    month of google service
    outages adds about $10+ per
    share to the valuation.
    And believe me there is no
    way a liberal Google
    is going to be 400 million
    Chinese Internet phones in
    2008. Nobody in that govenment wants that. therefore
    they are supporting a
    healthy home grown alternative..
    Baidu.

    #185
  5. boris

    Baidu bounces as much as $14
    68 > 82 before index
    tip 8 trading days ago.

    #204

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